MK Dons (@2.8) vs Ipswich (@2.45)
17-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Ipswich will win

MK Dons – Ipswich Match Prediction | 17-09-2019 14:45

They conceded three goals against Wycombe last weekend, shipping 1.71 expected goals in the process, while they were once again breached on Tuesday, surrendering a rather hefty 2.36 expected goals for. Such numbers dont exactly bode well. While theyve looked good going forward, the Dons have struggled to keep teams at bay. However, an increase in attacking productivity has come at a price.

Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Deposit and place a 5 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Credit/Debit card deposits only. Wager the Casino Bonus 40x to withdraw winnings. Receive 2x 10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days, plus a 20 Casino Bonus, expires in 7 days.

For bets on Ipswich 1xBet provides the best odds so far with 2.59. In the last five years there has been no encounter between the two teams. At the moment the bookmakers trend to a home win by MK Dons. A bet of 10 will result in a win of 25,70 (which equals 15,70 profit). The highest odds for a home win are at the moment offered by 1xBet with 2.57.

In the betting, given the recent performances of both, Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score stands out as viable option. MK Dons, whore coming off the back of scoring four goals in two games, posting a combined 5.18 expected goals for, have shown more than enough to suggest that they can hurt the visitors, but their rather shaky defensive efforts point towards Peterborough also enjoying themselves in the final third, so much so that the price on offer appears to suggest that a high-scoring games is less likely than several indicators.

How we calculate our stats

Like Saturdays hosts, Posh, whove conceded in three out of four, shipping six goals in total, havent looked great at the back, but their recent attacking efforts are positive ahead of a match against a Dons side that has given plenty away of late. Darren Fergusons men showed that theyve got what it takes to hurt teams when scoring twice against Ipswich last weekend, while they continued to look useful in the final third on Tuesday evening, as they notched twice on route to victory against Southend, creating 1.59 expected goals for in the process.

It resulted in a chance for Gilbey, who dragged his right-footed shot wide. MK Dons best attacking move of the first half arrived on 35 minutes. It involved nearly every player in a red and gold shirt as they worked their way from one end of the pitch to the other. Harley was lurking at the far post but couldnt pounce and convert.

Bookmakers make the home side strong favourites for this and while the real table has four points between these sides, the expected goals data suggests they should be level on three points. In addition, Kwesi Appiah has two for the season and carries the main goal threat for the visitors and looks worth an anytime scorer interest. With these sides having already drawn 2-2 in the League Cup this season we think the visitors can get something from this. The draw is a real runner so back AFC Wimbledon in the draw no bet market which returns if it finishes all-square.

In terms of quality, Ipswich are undoubtedly a better side than Wimbledon, while theyve also done a better job of outplaying their opponents in terms of both shots and chances created. That said, we shouldnt expect the hosts to run riot, as theyve not exactly been overly flamboyant in the final third, while Wimbledon, for all their issues, dont often receive a battering. From a betting point of view, Ipswich to Win & Under 3.5 Goals looks a solid option.

Kieran Agard demonstrated some strong hold-up play before finding Alex Gilbey, who switched play over to Conor McGrandles. The midfielder controlled the ball on his chest but was dispossessed as he made his way deep into the penalty area. Supporters inside Stadium MK got their first glimpse of the attacking play that Tisdale will be looking to bring to the Club inside the opening five minutes.

Free Bets & Offers

Going forward, the Tractor Boys were the better team, as they posted 1.53 expected goals for and took 16 shots, no less than eight of which hit the target. Despite scoring as early as the 4th minute, Ipswich could only draw at the weekend, though if we examine their efforts closely, its easy to feel that theres positives to take. In contrast, Lamberts men conceded 0.91 expected goals, though they didnt exactly restrict Peterborough, as they surrendered 11 shots, seven of which tested keeper Tomas Holy.

Not only did they struggle to make offensive headway, but they allowed their opponents to create more than them for the third match in a row. For the first time this term, Wally Downes men dictated the play by seeing more of the ball, but they failed to create many clear-cut opportunities, as an expected goals figure of 0.44 suggests. Wimbledon picked up their first point of the campaign on Saturday, but they were once again poor.